Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.162021 0.182754 0.204569 0.229180 0.256118 0.284653 0.317111
2025-04-06 0.133271 0.161029 0.191811 0.228294 0.270163 0.316515 0.371510
2025-04-13 0.112463 0.144401 0.181478 0.227309 0.282023 0.344822 0.421897
2025-04-20 0.098289 0.133302 0.175642 0.229934 0.296978 0.376303 0.476435
2025-04-27 0.088662 0.126341 0.173594 0.236173 0.315740 0.412350 0.537216
2025-05-04 0.078724 0.117682 0.168278 0.237352 0.327598 0.439810 0.587984
2025-05-11 0.071926 0.112329 0.166484 0.242451 0.344105 0.473140 0.646704
2025-05-18 0.066601 0.108350 0.165969 0.248822 0.362108 0.508589 0.708866
2025-05-25 0.059460 0.100979 0.160055 0.247197 0.368991 0.529430 0.752403
2025-06-01 0.053645 0.094939 0.155423 0.246803 0.377151 0.551820 0.798216
2025-06-08 0.048425 0.089253 0.150774 0.245891 0.384237 0.572649 0.842180
2025-06-15 0.045372 0.086675 0.150471 0.251094 0.399907 0.605379 0.902807
2025-06-22 0.041123 0.081840 0.146523 0.250851 0.408028 0.628362 0.951458
2025-06-29 0.037273 0.077277 0.142619 0.250348 0.415587 0.650627 0.999576
2025-07-06 0.033774 0.072949 0.138730 0.249536 0.422485 0.671973 1.046789
2025-07-13 0.031349 0.070298 0.137353 0.252505 0.435044 0.701654 1.106378
2025-07-20 0.029825 0.069156 0.138389 0.259309 0.453599 0.740436 1.179784
2025-07-27 0.027515 0.066261 0.136182 0.260624 0.463572 0.766737 1.235654
2025-08-03 0.026067 0.064908 0.136547 0.266146 0.480235 0.803285 1.307139
2025-08-10 0.024927 0.064059 0.137725 0.273026 0.499197 0.843651 1.384995
2025-08-17 0.022683 0.060662 0.134008 0.271282 0.504124 0.862781 1.431706
2025-08-24 0.020817 0.057859 0.131173 0.270862 0.511077 0.885043 1.483407
2025-08-31 0.019051 0.055068 0.128142 0.269882 0.516970 0.905685 1.532958